Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures and Coral Bleaching

Screenshot of Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures and Coral Bleaching Tool

Access:

The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperature and Coral Bleaching Tool [opens in new window]

About:

The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures and Coral Bleaching Tool provides seasonal forecasts of ocean temperature and coral bleaching risk. These forecasts are generated using POAMA.

Available forecasts include sea surface temperature, hotspots and degree heating months. Both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts are available.

This information is critical to partner countries in planning coastal development and safeguarding agricultural, marine and water resources. Under climate change, ocean temperatures and the frequency of mass coral bleaching events are predicted to increase, highlighting the need for improved management of coral reefs of the Pacific Island nations and Timor-Leste.

Relationship to other tools:

The Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Ocean Temperatures and Coral Bleaching Tool is linked to the Seasonal Prediction of Sea Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific tool. Forecast outlooks for both tools are generated via the POAMA seasonal prediction model.

Who can use it:

This tool is accessible to interested users who apply to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to use the tool. Meteorological agencies from PACCSAP partner countries in the Pacific are the primary users of this tool.